Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Fuel Mileage...Is It the New Attrition?

Fuel mileage has been a hot topic almost all season in both IndyCar and NASCAR, and for some reason it has taken a more front-and-center stage over the last couple of weeks. In IndyCar circles, it was much-discussed on the TV broadcast from Japan, especially when several teams admitted going into conservation mode almost from the time the green flag dropped. In Cup, Tony Stewart winning on fumes two straight weeks while others ran out and sending the Chase standings into disarray has made a lot of people angry.

I was reading an article by Ed Hinton recently (read it here) and he said something interesting:

"Actually, I kind of like fuel-mileage finishes. They are suspenseful. When front-runners are close on gas, there's always the chance that what would otherwise be a runaway could be snuffed.

And my recollections of yore in NASCAR, say the 1970s and '80s, are that virtually every finish was suspenseful. Even if one driver was way out front, you never knew he had the race locked up until he crossed the finish line.

That was because engine reliability was poorer, and fuel calculations were far less precise. So there was always a chance a dominant car would blow an engine or run out of gas.

Now, as then, the most boring element in any race is predictability."

Ed has a point. With attrition now at a total minimum and the gap between the haves and have nots a lot closer, races coming down to who has the most fuel left in their tanks is about the only unpredictable element we have any more.

He's right on one point: For those of us who have been following racing for a couple of decades, attrition was so random and so completely out of the driver's control that nothing was certain until the checkered flag dropped. So many races were decided by a guy dropping out because of the infamous "five dollar part" (heck, the total cost of the mechanical gremlins that befell the Andrettis at Indy probably didn't add up to more than $100), or a driver would run out of fuel because the calculations themselves were so imprecise.

A case in point is that in a 40-year span between 1960-99, close to a dozen drivers led the 500 with less than 50 miles to go only to drop out of the race with a mechanical issue. Since mechanical issues no longer happen, fuel mileage admittedly does add to the race. After all, what would the 500 have been the last two years without several drivers who were on the point late peeling off late for a splash of fuel only to hand the lead to another? In the end it is almost the same thing, but since we see fuel mileage in such a bad light we see that as a negative instead.

In the end, unless several fundamental aspects of the sport change, races won on fuel are here to stay. Here are a few reasons why.

*Technology. When a car is at speed, it almost becomes a real person in terms of its ability to provide information and feedback. The telemetry in the car tells the crew how much fuel is left, and while compared to the rest of the techology involved in the sport it is still primative, calculations are a lot closer than the days of figuring out how much fuel was left in the fuel tank or cans in the pits and how much that meant was left in the car.

I remember a race in the early 1990s when Eddie Cheever was driving for A.J. Foyt at Nazareth and ran out of gas with a half-lap to go. A.J. went out to the car and poked a stick into the fuel tank to see what was left. He doesn't need to do that any more, the computer in his pit box tells him instead.

*Reliability. Simpy put, the cars don't break. Honda has built a bulletproof engine that while it meets the need of cost containment, doesn't always make for stellar racing. Long gone are the days where the engines were cranking up 15,000 RPMs and even in the hands of the best drivers there was no guarantee of getting to the finish. Now that the engines are tuned for reliability as well as performance in hopes that each car uses just one per weekend, the motors aren't wound nearly as tight as the engines of yesteryear.

*Competition. Right now the series, from top to bottom, is as deep as it has ever been. Teams are going to always take the conservative route because points are way too precious and mistakes are very magnified. Look at Scott Dixon for example, he has two wins, two poles and 11 top-5s, but with two races to go has all but been eliminated from championship contention because of three finishes of 12th or worse. A driver is allowed one "mulligan" but unless you are the class of the field, a la Will Power, you can't recover from more than a couple of bad finishes. Fuel is a variable that can be managed, so they aren't going to risk a mully on something like that. There isn't a team in the field that feels comfortable enough to say "to hell with it, we are going to roll the dice". The cost, both in points and financially, is too great in an era when so many cars still end up on the lead lap. More than ever, track position is critical, and taking a risk just doesn't fit the strategy.

*CYA. Covering your hind-parts is just a way of the world any more. Anywhere in the sports world, players, coaches, teams, etc. choose to take the conservative route because anything else gets them raked over the coals in every sort of media imaginable. Just watch the NFL for crying out loud, as taking chances is akin to committing hari kari, and for many coaches if that risk doesn't pay off it's either that or they lose their jobs. In the racing world, bad choices and bad results leads to the potential of the money drying up, and while 20 years ago it didn't matter as the loss of a sponsor meant another was knocking on the door, poor finishes, even when taking a risk, is bad business. Going for it is no longer considered heroic, it's stupid.

As more and more technology has creeped into the sport, the amount of the race the driver can actually control with their driving lessens. It's very virtual, in that the computers, the engineers and the race strategists have more of a say in how the driver covers the race distance. It's only after the final stop and when the car has enough fuel to finish is the race completely turned over to the driver.

Drivers years ago just drove the car in relative peace and pitted for tires and fuel. Now they have people in their ears telling them what to do and how to do it, based on what the data is telling them. That doesn't take away the importance of a good driver, because what separates a good driver from a great one now is one that is smart enough to decipher the data and communicate with the crew to decide what is best, but in the end, how many drivers make the final decision? Very few. Racing has always been a team sport, but the "team" concept and the involvement beyond the driver is just a lot greater now than it was once before.

No one runs away with races any more, in fact, a 5-second win is considered a "boring" finish. With the tight competition, it's like a pitching matchup between Roy Halladay and Tim Lincecum. Nine times out of 10, the game isn't going to be won against one of those guys, both teams are going to try and keep the score tied or make it a one-run game until one team exploits the other's bullpen in the final two innings. Same concept, the shorter you can make a race, the better you can win by taking advantage of your strengths or others' mistakes.

But back to the "fuel as attrition" part". I'll be honest, when I put aside my negative feelings towards it, there is a sense of excitement. Watching the Cup race on Sunday there was a sense of tension as to whether Clint Bowyer was going to make it to the end of the race or run out of gas. The latter eventually happened and Stewart went on to win. Racing used to be a lot more like that in years past, as the unpredictable nature led to some excitement. It truly wasn't over until it was over.

And really, what is the difference between Bowyer running out of gas and having a mechanical issue? When I think objectively, I don't see one. So why does this whole thing bother us so much?

Thursday, September 22, 2011

I Don't Want to Hammer on Brian Barnhart

But as poor of a perception as the drivers and IndyCar fanbase has about the guy, he is better off keeping his mouth shut or letting some PR wizard handle his stuff. In an e-mail to the Indy Star (see the story here) he defends his handling of the Dario Franchitti incident and believes the correct penalty was handed out.

"The basic concept of our penalty is we want the offending driver at the back of the field for his offense," Barnhart wrote in an email. A driver either gets there voluntarily or through the mandate of race control, he said. "Either way achieves basically the same thing," Barnhart said.

If it achieves the same thing, then why have so many other drivers been given a drive-through penalty as opposed to sending them to the back of the line? Why not do the same thing to them?

And, for the record, it is not the same thing. A drive-through penalty is steep (which all penalties should be), with in and out time to the pits it puts a driver 30 seconds or more behind the rest of the field. Putting Dario at the end of the line allowed him to easily drive back up through the field, and in the end he finished the race just a handful of positions down from where he was when he started the whole fiasco.

Really, there are a few things I don't like about this. One, after the debacle at New Hampshire it gave the series (another) black eye. Two, with the driver/team involved and the championship implications any penalty might have, it gave conspiracy theorists plenty of fodder in which to speculate that this was done with preferential treatment in mind. If you are a huge entity, such as NASCAR or even the NFL, for example, you can get away with doing things that might raise eyebrows...preferential treatment and conspiracies (real and imagined) are part of the fabric of those sports and the discussions that it spawns among the fan bases add to their excitement and popularity.

In a series like IndyCar, which is struggling for recognition and respect, it is a sign of incompetence and, even worse, a total lack of integrity. In order for the series to get the respect from race fans it needs to grow and prosper, everything needs to be done right, especially up in the booth. That's not happening now, and Randy Bernard needs to give a lot of thought as to why, and what he needs to do about it.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

All About Japan and the Most Bizarre Race of the Year

I don't know if it was because it was midnight on a Saturday, but the race just had a weird vibe to it. While I'm glad they made the most of the situation and went to Motegi one final time, for some reason it just felt like a lot of people spent the weekend going through the motions. The racing seemed benign and conservative for the most part, and if it weren't for the hilarious, top-of-their-game performance by the Versus broadcast crew (and I am being sincere) I might have found something else to do.

But I hung in there, and here are a few thoughts I have:

Changes need to be made. Brian Barnhart and his Race Control crew once again embarrassed the series with some of their calls on Saturday. There is just no other way to say it. The start of the race itself was totally fractured, so much so it contributed to the bad racing through the event's first stint. Then of course, came the call to put Dario Franchitti at the end of the line as opposed to serving a drive-through penalty when he punted half of the top-10 in a mid-race restart. That was a bad move on Dario's part, and it was blatant. It deserved the same penalty several other drivers have served during the season, and is the picture definition of "avoidable contact". Barnhart has repeatedly made errors in judgement calls this year (and Dario has been the recipient of two very friendly calls himself, here and in Milwaukee) and that just can't happen. I am all for doing what is best for the fans, but racing is still a competition, and that competition has to be inforced with integrity. Barnhart is not doing that. While he might be doing a fantastic job in his day-to-day duties with IndyCar, he should not be a race day official in 2012.

I did regain a little respect for Dario...after he took full blame for his actions. Of course, it might have been the best thing to do since he took out two teammates and a rival, but turning his back for a moment against his usual whining ways was probably the best out possible. Then again, it was a bush-league move and there was no hiding from this one.

This was a familiar sight!
indycar.com
Wait, you mean there was an actual race? Yes there was, and Scott Dixon was your winner! Actually, Dixie had a fantastic weekend, so hats off to him for that. Taking the pole, leading all of the laps and winning the race...can't get much better than that. I wish Will Power had done a little more to challenge him, because Dixon would have raced him clean as always, but it's possible he was just that much better than everyone else. Don't count Dixon out in the championship, while he is still a long shot, he's driven a solid season as always and if he caught a couple of breaks could sneak his way past Power and Franchitti.

Once again, Graham Rahal deserved better. I don't know what else the guy can do, he has had some of the worst luck of any driver I have seen in a long, long time. All season long he has been solid, and sometimes spectacular, and stuff happens that shuffles him back in the field. It happens, but he is certainly due, and Ryan Briscoe isn't all that far behind.

The Versus guys...may have had the best performance of the weekend. Bar none. It is probably very difficult to do what they did in sitting in a studio thousands of miles from the venue and broadcasting someone else's feed, but I thought they were great. From all accounts they are all great guys with great personalities and I think letting that go a little bit was fun to listen to and appropriate given the late-night broadcast.

The points. Dario's self-inflicted wounds gave the points lead back to Will Power, whose incredible comeback over the last two months sends him into the penultimate race with an 11-point lead over Franchitti and a 59-point advantage over Dixon. So barring any catastrophies at Kentucky in two weeks, we will once again go into the final race of the season with the championship still in the balance.

There are a lot of great storylines heading into the last couple of races, and still a lot of excitement left. Many people went into this year thinking it would be a bit of a throwaway given the dominance of the red cars and the lame duck status of the equipment, but for the most part I think it has been anything but boring. Here is hoping the series finishes with a flourish and carries that into what should be a great 2012.

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Dan Wheldon, We're Lucky to Have Him! Now Get Him A Ride Please!

I have to admit that for a long time I wasn't a big fan of Dan Wheldon's. I don't know why, so I'm not even going to offer an explanation. But over the last year or so I have really become a fan, and the main reason is because he honestly gets it. He really has a passion for the sport, the series, and the Speedway.

My respect for him really grew in the off-season when no matter what was thrown his way, he just didn't jump into any car or any situation. He could have taken a ride with any team, drove around in circles for the season and made a lot of money, but that obviously isn't who he is. He was waiting for the perfect ride, and somehow that perfect ride was a one-off for the 500, and next year might even become more than that. Being there in person to see him win the 500 was a special experience, just like it is when any driver who has a true reverence for the race finds Victory Lane. Actually, that was also why I was pretty moved by Paul Menard's victory in the Brickyard 400 today, because of the passion and commitment that his family has shown towards the Speedway for as long as I have been a fan.

It was while listening to the broadcast of the Cup race on the radio that I got the idea for this post. I was flipping channels and came to a station where I heard Wheldon's voice. I caught the end of the interview but what he said struck me. After he talked about how special it was to win the 500 for the second time, and especially on the race's 100th anniversary, they asked him why he was there for a stock car race, and he replied something like "any time the Speedway asks me to come here, I am usually on a plane within the hour". Later on in the TV broadcast we find out he was the driver coach for Hope Solo as she prepared to drive the pace car for the Brickyard. Of course, you probably couldn't ask for a better person to show you the fast way around, but I think for him to do that shows his desire to pay it forward for what the Speedway has done for him.

That's just awesome. I think we all have this jaded impression that today's professional athlete cares little about anything but showing up and making as much money as they can. And, yes, for a lot of them that is true. It's refreshing to see someone who understands what made him rich and famous, and that they are appreciative of the history of the people who came here before them.

I don't think Wheldon has always gotten a fair shake over the past few years, and I wouldn't blame him if he were pissed or bitter. Flat-out, the guy can drive and deserves a full-time ride with one of the series' best teams. Instead, he has made the best of the situation by being an ambassador to the sport and doing what he can to help it grow. And the one time he got in a car this year, he won!

So this is just a shout-out in appreciation of what this sport has in people like Dan. People like him are why I love sports.

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Travis Pastrana, Welcome to IndyCar!

Interesting, but not surprising, news today that X-Game legend, rally car driver and all-around adrenaline junkie Travis Pastrana has committed to becoming one of the five non-IndyCar drivers to accept a seat in the race for the $5 million prize to the driver who can win the season finale in Las Vegas.

You can read about it here.

"For me to not do that, I would regret it for the rest of my life," Pastrana says in the story. "It's absolutely amazing, and I'm definitely looking forward to it."

Good news to have a commitment like Pastrana's, as hopefully more interesting names will begin popping up as the roster becomes finalized over the next few weeks. Should he not make the NASCAR Chase for the Sprint Cup, Kasey Kahne looks to be a possibility, and there have been several other drivers who have been linked as possibles for the race.

Pastrana is a great get. He's popular, very media (and social media) friendly, has great sponsorship in Red Bull, and seems like the type of guy that is going to be a good partner with IndyCar in this deal. I think he understands what Randy Bernard is trying to accomplish, and from what I have seen and read about Pastrana, he will do what he can to help promote his participation in the event.

Because let's be honest, Pastrana has no chance to win the race. A couple of hundred laps of practice isn't going to get him on par with guys like Dario Franchitti, Will Power or Tony Kanaan. That's not to say he isn't a great driver. In fact, if he found a team and decided he wanted to stick around for a while, I wouldn't mind.

I think he understands that, and that is a good thing. He's just a guy that likes to do different things and LOVES to compete. He wants to go fast and see how he stacks up against some of the best drivers of the sport. And as he mentioned in the story, if he can't do that, he will park the car. He seems pretty smart too.

It's also important that Red Bull come into this with him as well. They have had no problem hyping some of his ventures (like his world record jump in a rally car a couple of years ago) and if they would be willing to put together a couple of commercial spots in support of him, that would be incredible exposure for the series.

In the end, that's what this is all about. I expect the series to promote the hell out of every driver it chooses, and in return I'm sure there are agreements in place for their sponsors to do the same. I feel like this is the "all-in" race (pun intended) race for Bernard, it is his experiment to find out what this series can be with the proper promotion and exposure. It is a real test to find out where the series can go if all of our "what if" scenarios could come true.

The series took a big step forward with Pastrana's commitment. Where are they going to go with that from here?

Monday, June 27, 2011

Iowa!

Beyond that, no title gives the weekend justice. As someone who is part-Iowan (I was born and lived for a while in Davenport and my family's roots in the state go back over 125 years), I was really proud and impressed by the way people came out and supported the event. I was at the Midwest League All-Star game (low Class A) in the Quad Cities on Tuesday and they did the exact same thing.Very cool. Good people.

Anyway, on to the race. I figured this week I'd run through the top five and add another couple of comments along the way.

Getty Images
Marco Andretti -- He needed this one...badly. Iowa seems to be a place where he carries a lot of confidence, and that showed with his drive on Saturday. He got himself into the mix quickly and just kept coming. It's hard to believe it has been five years since he has won, he's better than that, way better. He needs to drive well and the series needs him to drive well. As I wrote about over the winter, he needs to step up and become a face of his team and the series, and this was a move in the right direction.

Tony Kanaan -- As always, he put on a great show. His battle with Marco over the last 25 laps or so was great theater. I know they haven't always seen eye-to-eye (especially after the repeated throws under the bus TK got in the off-season) but I think they truly enjoyed racing each other. It was about as close to the edge of the rules as one can get, but isn't that what the highest levels of the sport are about? It was hard racing, and I think TK said it best in his post-race comments: if it weren't for the win they would have had a long conversation. It's nice he gets it because I'm not sure others always do. No matter who you are or what you have accomplished, you should have to earn wins and not expect everyone to get out of your way and hand them to you.

Scott Dixon -- Dixon had a horrible time in qualifying -- starting 23rd on the grid -- but steadily worked his way up in the field and finished a quiet third. I've never been a fan of his, but I've been impressed with his driving this year (I think he deserves more than he has gotten) as well as his improved performance with the media. Everybody who knows the guy likes him, now he is starting to project that to the fans as well.

J.R. Hildebrand -- Another guy who needed a finish like this badly. We all know about Indy, Texas was a fiasco and his wreck at Milwaukee had Scott Goodyear openly putting him on the hot seat. Now, I thought that was one of the most bizarre things Goodyear has ever said and it probably held little to no water, but it just put an exclamation point to his run of (bad) luck over the last few weeks. He has left a lot of wrecked equipment and a blown knee in his wake the last few weeks, here is hoping this helps him right the ship.

Dario Franchitti -- Dario had a good news/bad news type of weekend. The bad news first: he dominated the first 3/4 of that race and didn't win. The good news: he made the most of it and walked away with a 20-point lead on Will Power, which he is going to need now that we are getting back to Willer Time (ahem, road and street courses). Reading Curt Cavin's Q & A this morning, I discovered I wasn't the only one who was surprised that Dario left his crying towel at home for the weekend, but I was glad Sad Dario stayed home for the weekend. I think he realized two things: 1) he didn't lose the race, he just got beat by better cars, something that's somewhat easier to live with and 2) he left Iowa with a bigger lead in points than when he arrived. And, his car headed home in one piece. For a driver, that leaves little to complain about.

A few other observations:

* It really sucks that Dan Wheldon isn't in a car, and hopefully that can be resolved soon, if anything with a ride for the rest of the oval season. Still, his work on Versus has been great. The advantage he has is that he has just been in the car, his feel and knowledge of the car and the competitors is fresh. Both at Iowa and Texas he has provided some little nuggets of info that I have totally gotten into.
* But as long as he is doing TV, his "grid walk" with Robin Miller MUST be part of the program. Though they didn't glean a lot of new stuff out of their interviews, it was fun to watch them just grab people and put them on the air, because you really get to see people's true personalities when they are winging it. Plus, I thought Roger Penske giving Wheldon props for winning the 500 on the air was just a very classy move.
* Try as I might, I wish Danica Patrick would inspire me. She doesn't. I will never stray from my prediction that if she takes it seriously she will win the Indy 500 one day, but outside of the Speedway her driving does nothing. I even gave her another chance when I went to the Nationwide race at Chicagoland a couple of weeks ago. Nope. She drove around in circles for two-plus hours and did nothing. Passed a couple of cars, got passed by those same couple of cars and moved up late via attrition. Sound familiar? I know I sang her praises after Long Beach, talking about how I was impressed with her performance, I thought she would be more of a force on ovals, and she wasn't.
* Not that he has to worry about it for a while, but where is Will Power's confidence level on ovals? Admittedly, not everything that has happened to him has been his fault, but somehow I think the good vibes he got out of Texas have turned into some mixed feelings.
* Do you think that Mike Conway and Justin Wilson are looking foward to the twisties? Talk about needing some confidence.

Friday, June 10, 2011

What Kind of An Idiot...

...starts an Indy 500 blog and doesn't post anything about the Indy 500? Ummm, that would be me. What can I say, lots going on in both my professional and personal life left little opportunity (or motivation) to write any more than I already was.

But I have finally had my fill of writing baseball stories and nothing else, so here I am again.

While my May didn't work out the way I had planned, I did watch both days of time trials and was in my Turn 1 seats on race day. Wow, was that an amazing day or what? I picked a great year to bring Matt, my 15-year-old son, to the race for the first time. He had come to qualifying with me last year, but as anyone who has been to both can attest, it's cool but just not the same.

The finish may have been one of the craziest I have ever seen, but while I'm not the biggest Brian Barnhart fan, he made the right call, and for once one of his explanations made sense. While I feel so bad for J.R. Hildebrand (and even worse for the guy after hearing he tore his ACL the other day) I am just that happy for Dan Wheldon.

I must admit, prior to this year I hadn't been a big fan of his. But in the end, you can't ask for a better champion and an ambassador to the race and it's rich history. Yet still, he is without a ride. Really? While I understand the business side of things, somebody, somewhere has to work something out to get him in a car again this year before Vegas.

Once the race was over, Matt and I headed to the museum. I had wanted to see the winning cars display, and given the fact members of Team Penske were shrink-wrapping their cars' tires as we were walking around, we got there just in time! I had seen many of the cars before, but to see them lined up in order was a perfect way to show the evolution of these gorgeous machines. Like many, the Johnny Lighning Specials that Al Unser drove in 1970-71 were my favorites.

It was really the perfect end to a perfect day. One of the things that made me happiest was to hear Matt say he was already excited about coming back next year. Passing on the traditions I have grown to love to my boys is so important to me, and to see them enjoy their time at the Speedway is very satisfying.

So the roar is over, and unfortunately it is a long way to next May. But there is still a lot of season left, and I hope to stay on board!